Analyze Kyler Murray's matchup for week 9
Kyler Murray returns from a two-game foot injury layoff to face a Cowboys defense that’s hemorrhaging 25.7 QB fantasy points, 2,185 passing yards and 20 TDs to the position this season. With Dallas down Trevon Diggs and fresh off letting Bo Nix drop 44, Murray’s dual-threat profile, rested legs and improved red-zone chemistry with Trey McBride create a perfect get-right spot.
Dallas has become a fantasy gold mine for quarterbacks, allowing the most passing yards (2,185) and passing TDs (20) while surrendering 419 total yards per game. The loss of Trevon Diggs has turned the secondary into a big-play buffet, and a mediocre pass rush won’t consistently bother a healthy Kyler. On the other side, Murray’s 6.0 YPA and zero top-15 weekly finishes scream positive regression, especially with Marvin Harrison Jr. and a hot McBride ready to exploit downfield voids.
Averaging only 192 pass yards and 6.0 YPA with one combined-TD game through five outings; hasn’t cracked 220 yards or a weekly QB1 finish yet, but rushing floor (35 yds/gm) and three straight red-zone scores from McBride hint at imminent spike.
Kyler’s 2025 counting stats look pedestrian, but context matters: he’s played hurt, missed two games, and still provides a 35-yard rushing floor that no pure pocket passer can match. The Cowboys’ defense is historically bad right now—no team allows more QB fantasy points, and the film shows safeties out of position and corners playing soft at the sticks. Expect Sean Payton-style schemed layups for Harrison and bubble screens to exploit the void left by Diggs, while Murray’s legs keep drives alive on third-and-medium. Add in a bye week to heal the foot and a Monday-night stage where stars tend to shine, and all the ingredients are there for a 275/3 plus 45 and a rushing score line that could swing playoff-hopeful matchups by himself.