Analyze Keenan Allen's matchup for week 9
Allen is rolling (four straight 20-point PPR games) and draws a Raiders defense that bleeds WR production, making him a locked-in high-end WR2 with easy WR1 upside.
Las Vegas is 28th in pass DVOA and 30th in fantasy points allowed to wideouts (26.4 FPPG) while rookie slot CB Taiyon Davis ranks third-worst among nickel backs in yards per cover snap. With Keenan Allen seeing 62 % of his routes from the slot and commanding a 25 % team target share since returning from a heel issue, the matchup is a direct path to 10-plus targets and a great shot at a touchdown.
Since coming back from the heel injury Allen has rattled off four consecutive 20-point PPR outings, averaging 5.6 catches on a 25 % target share and flashing both a rock-solid floor and a weekly ceiling.
Bottom line: unless your roster is stacked with three top-10 wideouts and no flex spot, Allen is an automatic start. Expect a floor around 6-70-0 and a ceiling of 11-135-2, slotting him firmly in the high-end WR2 tier with legitimate weekly WR1 upside.