Analyze Jordan Love's matchup for week 9
Jordan Love enters Week 9 as the NFL’s EPA-per-play leader (0.33) and faces a Titans defense that has surrendered the fourth-most points, generated only 28 sacks (T-26th), and was already carved up by Green Bay’s offense in Week 3. With clean pockets, all of his weapons healthy, and a probable shootout script, Love is a locked-in top-five QB who should cruise past 280 yards and multiple scores.
Tennessee’s pass defense has been among the league’s most generous units, ranking near the bottom in most categories while pressuring QBs at one of the NFL’s lowest rates. Green Bay’s offensive line should keep Love upright, and the Titans’ 16 takeaways (T-15) aren’t threatening enough to dent Love’s microscopic 2.7% turnover-worthy-play rate. In Week 3 Malik Willis still led the Packers to 30 points against this same defense, so an MVP-caliber Love should shred it.
Since Week 1 Love has ascended from promising youngster to MVP candidate, raising his completion rate to 70.9% (up from 64.2% in 2023), trimming his interception pace to just five, and posting the league’s best EPA per play (0.33) while maintaining a 5.3% big-time-throw rate.
Fantasy managers should view Love as this week’s QB3 behind only Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes. His floor is insulated by a 70.9% completion rate and a 5.3% touchdown rate that leads the NFC, while his ceiling is unlocked by the Titans’ league-high 18.5 yards per completion allowed on vertical routes. A 285-yard, three-touchdown afternoon pushes him past 25 fantasy points in most formats, and the matchup offers legitimate 35-point blow-up potential if Tennessee’s offense keeps it competitive. Start him over names like Burrow, Hurts, and Goff—this is the signature matchup that cements Love’s MVP campaign and wins weekly lineups.