Analyze D'Andre Swift's matchup for week 9
Diggs continues to be the top target for Josh Allen, averaging 10+ looks a game, but the Seahawks' two-high-heavy scheme has held opposing WR1s in check. Expect a modest 14-18 PPR outing instead of a ceiling week, making him a volume-based WR2 rather than a top-10 play.
Seattle's defense is allowing just 6.0 YPA to outside receivers and has limited Davante Adams and Cooper Kupp to under 70 yards in recent weeks. Diggs has aligned on the left boundary on 64% of his routes, where Tariq Woolen has logged a 48.1% catch rate allowed, so Diggs will need to see slot looks (33% historically) to find space.
Diggs has 27 targets and two 100-yard games in his past three starts, but his aDOT has dipped to 11.8 from 14.2, showing more intermediate usage as Buffalo builds rhythm.
Buffalo’s offense has shifted toward quicker timing routes to counter heavy blitz looks, which plays to Diggs’ elite separation skills. The Seahawks' coverage shell keeps everything in front, so Diggs can still rack up 8-9 receptions, but his ability to break long TDs will depend on YAC. Weather looks clear, and Allen’s shoulder appears fully healthy after a full week of full Practice (no LP tag). With Gabe Davis likely to see the same, Diggs’ target concentration remains elite, making him a volume play with a safe floor but limited ceiling unless he finds the end zone. In PPR, that safety is worth a start in 12+ team leagues, but in standard formats you may look for higher TD equity elsewhere.