Analyze Chase Brown's matchup for week 9
Brown has averaged 7.9 YPC and 18.8 PPR pts over the last two weeks while Chicago bleeds 143 rush yd/gm and 5.3 YPC; lock him into lineups as an upside RB1.
Chicago’s run defense ranks 27th in yards per game and 30th in yards per carry, surrendering 100-yard games to multiple backs already. On early downs—where Brown dominates—the Bears allow 6.8 yds per play, worst in football. With the Over/Under at 51.5 and Cincy a slim dog, expect a fast, back-and-forth script that keeps carries and red-zone trips flowing.
Back-to-back spike weeks flipped his season: 23/181/1 rushing, 7.9 YPC, 37.5 PPR points and snap share climbing toward 70%.
Chase Brown’s early-season dud evaporated the moment Joe Flacco stepped under center. In Weeks 7-8 the Bengals re-designed their rushing attack to feature wide-zone pulls and option routes that turn Brown’s 4.4 speed into chunk gains; the result was 181 yards on just 23 carries and a receiving score that showcased his every-down role. Expect that momentum to explode against a Chicago front that’s allowed the sixth-most rushing yards per game and can’t set the edge without crashing safeties. Offensive coordinator Dan Pitcher has already dialed up 14 designed touches a game for Brown the last two weeks—his highest in-season stretch—and the Bears’ banged-up linebacking corps lacks the speed to string those plays to the sideline. Add in a projected shootout (51.5 pt total) that prevents negative game script, plus red-zone opportunities created by Flacco’s revived play-action attack, and Brown has both the floor of 15 touches and the ceiling of 20-plus fantasy points. Sit him only if you own a top-five back; everyone else should ride the league’s hottest hand into Week 9.