Analyze Ceedee Lamb's matchup for week 9
Lamb’s elite 10-target-per-game usage and a Cardinals defense that’s coughed up three 100-yard receivers and seven different receiving TDs make him a locked-in WR2 with easy WR1 upside on Monday night.
Arizona enters Week 9 ranked 25th in passing yards allowed per game (234.9) and has already surrendered 100-yard games to three wideouts plus seven unique receiving touchdowns. The Cardinals’ slot coverage has been especially shaky, aligning perfectly with Lamb’s primary alignment and career-best 29 targets over the last three weeks.
After a season-low 1-2-7.6 line in Denver, Lamb still sits on 21-296-1 over his last three contests and has logged double-digit looks in seven of his past nine outings, keeping his season usage among the position’s elite.
Lamb’s 7.6-point dud in Week 8 was loud, but the underlying usage never wavered—he’s averaging 11.9 PPR points on 21 receptions and 29 targets during that three-game "slump" and remains top-five in target share. The Cowboys remain a pass-heavy offense when competitive, and Monday night’s total currently sits north of 48, projecting a shootout environment that funnels volume through the air. Against a Cardinals secondary that’s allowed the 23rd-most fantasy points to receivers and has given up multiple touchdown passes in four separate games, Lamb’s floor is 6-7 grabs and 80 yards while his ceiling expands to 10-plus catches, 120-plus yards and multiple scores if Arizona keeps it close into the fourth quarter. Fire him up with confidence as a high-end WR2 who carries legitimate WR1 spike-week upside under the primetime lights.