Analyze Aaron Rodgers's matchup for week 9
Rodgers is rolling—8 TDs in his last three games—and draws a Colts defense allowing 252 pass yds/gm and 7 TDs to QBs this year. Fire him up as a low-end QB1 with top-5 upside.
On paper this is the quintessential get-right spot: Indianapolis allows 7.9 YPA (30th), has generated only five interceptions, and has seen opposing QBs average 21.4 fantasy points—third-most league-wide. Rodgers’ 68.3 % completion rate and 16 scores versus five picks show he still possesses the accuracy and anticipation to dissect vulnerable secondaries. With no weather concerns in a controlled environment and zero players on the injury report, all arrows point toward a ceiling outing for the future Hall of Famer.
Ascending: 8:2 TD-to-INT ratio and 19.0 fantasy PPG the last three weeks, with at least one touchdown in every 2025 contest.
Rodgers’ late-career renaissance in Pittsburgh hits a crescendo this Sunday. The Colts play a passive Cover-3 shell that leaves the intermediate middle open—exactly where Rodgers has diced opponents during his hot streak, completing 74 % of passes between the numbers. Indianapolis rushes four at the fourth-lowest rate, meaning Rodgers will face minimal blitz pressure behind a Steelers line that’s allowed the eighth-lowest hurry rate. Look for quick-hit slants and deep over routes to George Pickens and a finally-healthy tight end room to gash a linebacking corps that’s surrendered the third-most receptions to TEs. Even if Pittsburgh builds a lead, the Colts’ offense has enough firepower to keep the pedal down, preserving Rodgers’ drop-back volume through four quarters.