Analyze Travies Etienne's matchup for week 7
Etienne’s locked-in volume keeps him on the flex radar, but a stingy Rams run D, negative game script, and his own 39 % success-rate slump make him a low-ceiling, touchdown-starved play best left on benches in standard formats.
The Rams enter Wembley allowing just 3.7 YPC (7th) and 0.63 RB points per touch (2nd), while Jacksonville is a 3-point underdog with a 21-point implied total—setting up a pass-heavy, clock-killing script that caps Etienne’s 15-carry floor. His only path to value is through the air: L.A. is 27th in receiving points allowed to backfields, and Etienne has caught 8 balls over the last two weeks.
Three of his last four games have finished under 60 total yards, his success rate sits 16th-worst among RBs, and the explosive 5.3 YPC season mark is increasingly volume-driven rather than efficient.
Etienne still controls the backfield, handling 72-77 % of touches since Week 4, so a baseline of 15 carries and 3-4 targets is realistic. The problem is that his 39 % success rate and lack of broken tackles mean those touches rarely turn into chunk gains, and the Rams’ defensive front—anchored by Kobie Turner and Ernest Jones—has allowed only one rushing TD to RBs all year. With Jacksonville’s passing attack ranked 25th in success rate, the offense stalls quickly, averaging 1.58 points per drive (29th) and turning second-half game scripts into throw-only situations. That environment turns Etienne into a check-down merchant who needs 5-6 receptions to pay off his weekly sticker price. In standard leagues that don’t reward that reception floor, his ceiling is essentially a 60-yard, zero-TD day—outcomes he’s already hit three times in four weeks. PPR formats raise him to a 12-point flex, but even there you’re betting on a London-game random touchdown, something the Rams allow at the league’s second-lowest rate. Unless you’re ravaged by byes or injuries, aim for backs in neutral or positive game scripts who actually finish drives; Etienne profiles as the poster-child for a low-upside, touchdown-dependent desperation play in Week 7.