Analyze Marvin Mims's matchup for week 7
The Giants’ league-worst WR defense looks tempting, but Mims’ 35% snap share and four-way target competition make him a bench-only option with a 4-point floor.
New York has bled 25.2 WR fantasy points per game (3rd-most) and 12.5 yards per catch, an ideal paper matchup for Mims’ 4.38 speed. The problem is Denver’s depth chart: Courtland Sutton commands alpha targets, while Pat Bryant, Troy Franklin and Josh Reynolds split the remaining 55% of snaps, leaving Mims on the field barely a third of the time. Even if the Giants allow explosives, Mims has to be on the grass to exploit them, and Sean Payton has given no indication that will change.
After a 6-6-69 breakout in Week 4, Mims has totaled 2-30 on 3 targets while playing a season-low 21 snaps (35%) in Week 6, cementing a boom-or-bench role.
Mims’ athletic profile screams upside—career 14.4 YPR and 4.38 speed—but his 2025 usage tells the real story. Snap counts have swung from 48 to 21 without warning, and when he does see the field he’s averaging only 2.7 targets per game. The Giants’ generosity is real: they’ve surrendered 74 WR receptions on 113 targets, but unless Courtland Sutton misses time, Mims is fourth in the pecking order and needs a 60-plus-yard catch-and-run to pay off. Fantasy managers chasing that ceiling in 12-team redraft are essentially buying a lottery ticket with a 4-point floor. In deeper or best-ball formats you can hold for the blow-up week, but standard leagues should favor higher-floor WR4/5 types who actually play 60-70% of snaps. Until Payton commits to a defined role, Mims remains a bench stash, not a starter, even against a defense that has allowed a receiver touchdown in five straight games.