Analyze Kareem Hunt's matchup for week 7
Hunt’s snap share has cratered to 30% and he’s averaging 3.8 YPC, but he still owns all Chiefs goal-line work (10 red-zone carries to Pacheco’s 4). Against a middling Raiders run defense that’s allowed 6 rushing TDs, the touchdown probability exists, yet the floor is near-zero if he doesn’t score. Sit him unless you’re in a 14-teamer or desperate for a one-shot TD dart.
Las Vegas enters Week 7 ranked 20th in rushing yards allowed (112.6 per game, 4.2 YPC) and has surrendered a rushing score in four straight. Their defensive improvement the last three weeks coincides with heavier nickel looks on early downs, leaving lighter boxes that a goal-line specialist like Hunt can exploit if Kansas City reaches the 5-yard line. The Raiders’ offense, however, has kept recent games close, limiting negative-script rushing volume. Expect 8–12 Hunt touches, with 60% coming inside the 20.
Snaps dropped from 44% in Weeks 3–4 to 30% in Week 6; averaged 23 total yards in two games since his two-TD explosion in Week 5.
Long-term, Hunt’s profile is unlikely to change barring a Pacheco injury. The Chiefs signed him to a veteran-minimum deal precisely for this vulture role, and Andy Reid has historically preferred a defined backfield hierarchy rather than a true committee. Unless Hunt sees a snap bump back toward 50 percent—something that would require either pass-protection improvement on his part or a Pacheco slump—his ceiling remains touchdown-dependent. For desperate managers in standard-scoring 14-team leagues or those navigating a tidal wave of byes, Hunt offers a legitimate 40 percent shot at six points. In every other context, leave the veteran on your bench and chase upside elsewhere.