Analyze Jonathan Taylor's matchup for week 7
Jonathan Taylor is the hottest RB in fantasy and draws a Chargers defense allowing 4.52 YPC and 3 TDs to backs; lock him into line-ups.
The Chargers have been generous on the ground, surrendering 79.6 rush yards per game to RBs at 4.52 YPC and three scores while also conceding a 77% catch rate to backs. Indianapolis’ rebuilt line and Taylor’s 19+ carry-per-game role set him up to exploit those holes, and positive scripts from a 5-1 team keep the volume coming.
Taylor has rattled off 603 rush yards (5.2 YPC) and 7 TDs plus 20 catches for 147 yards and another score, averaging 100+ total yards per week with multi-touchdown upside in five straight.
Jonathan Taylor’s 2025 renaissance is no fluke—he’s healthy, behind a mauling offensive line, and operating in an offense committed to feeding him 20+ touches every week. His efficiency numbers jump off the page: 5.2 yards per carry, eight total touchdowns, and only two targets left on the ground through six games. The Colts’ 5-1 record means positive game scripts that keep him on the field in the fourth quarter, and the coaching staff has shown zero inclination to scale back his workload. Against a Chargers front that’s already allowed three rushing scores and ranks 25th in run-defense DVOA, Taylor’s combination of volume, burst, and red-zone usage should produce another ceiling week.
Los Angeles enters Week 7 depleted along the interior defensive line, missing both starting defensive tackles who landed on injured reserve after Week 5. Their linebacking corps has struggled with gap integrity, leading to the fourth-most missed tackles by RBs this season. Taylor’s elite vision and tackle-breaking ability (he’s top-five in yards after contact) are the exact skill set that has shredded the Chargers in recent weeks—think of the 165-yard, 2-TD outing they surrendered to Denver’s backfield in Week 4. Even if the Bolts sell out to stop the run, Taylor’s 22 targets rank second on the Colts, so the passing-down work offers a rock-solid floor that prevents a complete bust.
From a fantasy-scoring perspective, the stars align for another 25-plus-point PPR explosion. Las Vegas has set Indianapolis as a 6.5-point favorite, projecting a comfortable win that should yield 22-25 carries for Taylor. Add 4-6 receptions against a linebacker group that’s allowed the sixth-most receiving yards to RBs, and you’re looking at 150-plus total yards with multiple touchdown upside. The only scenario in which he disappoints is a freak injury or a lightning-quick negative script that forces Indianapolis to abandon the run—both exceedingly unlikely given the current form of both teams. In season-long leagues, DFS, or anywhere else, Taylor is the unquestioned RB1 play of Week 7.