Analyze Deeboo Samuel's matchup for week 7
Deebo is a locked-in WR1 after 10 days of rest against a Cowboys unit allowing a league-high 34.9 WR fantasy points per game and 10 WR touchdowns in six weeks.
Dallas enters Week 7 as fantasy’s ultimate WR funnel, coughing up 188.8 WR yards and 1.7 WR touchdowns per contest and ranking 32nd in points allowed to the position. The Commanders are 2.5-point road favorites in a 53.5-point shootout, so Jayden Daniels should keep attacking through the air, giving Samuel ceiling-level volume against a secondary that just let Malik Nabers erupt for 9-167-2. Even if Terry McLaurin (injury) suits up, Washington can support multiple productive pass-catchers against this sieve.
A heel issue limited him to 4-15-0 on MNF, but he still owns a 79 % catch rate and has cracked 17 PPR points in 4 of 6 outings, averaging 15.7 PPG with 45 rushing yards as a bonus.
The extended rest cures the main red flag from Week 6; Samuel now gets the league’s most generous WR matchup on turf indoors, where his YAC skillset plays perfectly. Dallas has allowed multiple WR touchdowns in four separate games and lacks a physical slot/safety combo that can corral Deebo on crosses and quick pitches. Expect 7–9 targets plus a couple of designed runs—similar usage to his 17-point spike weeks—against corners who have turned average receivers into league-winning outputs. The game script should stay neutral or positive for Washington, keeping the foot on the gas and maximizing red-zone drives. Finally, Samuel’s usage near the goal line (three receiving TDs already) projects nicely against a defense that’s conceded 10 WR scores; if he sees even one opportunity inside the 10, the odds of pay-dirt are sky-high given opponent conversion rates. All arrows point to a 20-point ceiling and a safe 15-point floor, making him a no-branker top-12 option at worst and a week-winning WR1 at best.