Analyze Davante Adams's matchup for week 7
Adams draws a plus matchup against a Jaguars secondary that has struggled with veteran route-runners, has scored in three of his last four games, and should benefit from the London environment that rewards experience—lock him into lineups as a high-floor WR2 with WR1 upside.
Jacksonville enters Wembley allowing the 8th-most fantasy points to opposing WRs and has been especially vulnerable to intermediate timing routes—Adams’ bread-and-butter. The Jaguars’ outside corners have surrendered a 69% completion rate and 7 TDs to wideouts this year, and their zone looks should let Adams win with leverage and precision rather than raw speed. Add in the overseas quirks that tend to favor seasoned vets and the Rams’ 26-point implied total, and the setup screams “exploit.”
Three touchdowns in his last four games, 15-plus yards per catch in two of his last three, and back-to-back 8-target weeks after mid-season target volatility—he’s healthy, productive, and commanding red-zone looks.
Davante Adams’ 2025 renaissance in Los Angeles has been driven by elite release technique and red-zone nuance rather than the massive target hog volume of his Packers peak. His 55 targets through six games rank 18th among WRs, yet he’s 10th in receiving TDs and 11th in yards per catch, underscoring an efficiency renaissance. The Jaguars’ primary outside corners, Tyson Campbell and rookie Jarrian Jones, have allowed a combined 143.1 passer rating on throws 10–20 yards downfield—precisely the stretch where Adams has run 44% of his routes this season. Jacksonville plays man coverage at the sixth-lowest rate, instead relying on spot-drops and match-up zones that Adams has historically dissected; since 2021 he averages 2.38 yards per route vs. zone (per PFF), top-five among WRs with 100+ such routes. London’s slower track and unfamiliar surroundings tend to compress defensive assignments, benefiting technicians who win with timing and leverage—Adams’ calling cards. With Stafford showing revived aggressiveness (7.9 air-yards per attempt the last two weeks) and the Rams’ implied team total sitting at 26.5, Adams profiles for 8–10 targets, at least six catches, and a 40% chance of a score, giving him one of the safer WR2 floors on the Week 7 slate and legitimate upside for a 25-point ceiling if the game shoots out.