Analyze Chirs Olave's matchup for week 7
Olave is a locked-in WR2 with WR1 upside this week after posting 98 yards on 10 targets and a season-best 16.3 YPR in Week 6; the Bears have allowed the 7th-most WR fantasy points, 515 yards and 6 TDs to the position over their last three games, making this the ideal get-right spot for the league’s target leader (64 through six weeks).
The Bears’ secondary has been one of the league’s friendliest to wide receivers, coughing up 29.5 PPR points per game (7th-most) and a robust 15.5 yards per reception to primary WRs. After giving up a 39-point eruption to Amon-Ra St. Brown earlier this year, they’ve allowed 515 yards and 6 touchdowns to the position in their last three contests alone. With calm 56-degree weather expected at Soldier Field, nothing will impede New Orleans’ pass-heavy attack (34 attempts per game) from funneling targets to its alpha wideout.
Olave’s arrow is pointing straight up—he just set season highs in receiving yards (98) and per-catch explosiveness (16.3 YPR) while maintaining elite volume: five straight double-digit target games and a league-leading 64 targets overall.
Volume and opportunity have never been the problem for Chris Olave; efficiency was. His 8.8 yards-per-reception average through five weeks was a career low and more than four yards below his rookie mark, but last week’s spike to 16.3 YPR signals he’s regaining the downfield burst that made him a fantasy star in 2022-23. That uptick coincides with palpable chemistry with Spencer Rattler, whose completion rate climbed to 76.9% in Week 6 after an entire offseason of dedicated work with his No. 1 receiver. The Bears provide the perfect foil: they’ve surrendered the 7th-most fantasy points to wide receivers, rank bottom-10 in yards per reception allowed to the position, and just gave up 39-plus to Amon-Ra St. Brown earlier this year. Expect Kellen Moore to keep the foot on the gas—New Orleans is 1-5 and will be throwing to stay competitive—while Olave’s 34% target share keeps his floor above 15 PPR points. Add it up and you have a high-floor, high-ceiling WR2 who could easily return low-end WR1 numbers in Week 7 and jump-start a second-half league-winning stretch.