Analyze Cam Skattebo's matchup for week 7
Cam Skattebo has morphed from committee curiosity to featured back, averaging 20.6 PPG since Week 3 on 70%+ snap shares and 17 red-zone touches; even against Denver’s seventh-ranked run defense he’s a volume-driven RB1 play.
Denver allows only 130.2 rush yards per game (7th) but has surrendered 4.5+ YPC in three of its last four, including 130 yards to Philadelphia in Week 5. Skattebo’s 93 Explosive-Play Rating and league-leading snap-share growth (11.8% → 73.7%) align perfectly with a Broncos front that’s middle-of-the-pack in explosive-run rate and has already given up six rushing scores to backs.
After a 2.9-point debut, Skattebo has ripped off 20.6 PPG across Weeks 3-6, handling 59% of the Giants’ backfield opportunities and punching in three TDs on 19 carries in his latest outing.
Volume is the ultimate deodorant, and Skattebo is swimming in it. His 72.3 weighted opportunities per game rank 16th among all backs despite New York’s bottom-five game script, and his snap share has climbed every week, cresting at 73.7% last Sunday. That kind of usage insulates him from matchup volatility; even if Denver’s seventh-ranked run defense holds him below his 4.1 seasonal YPC, the rookie’s 12.7% target share and 10 red-zone carries inside the five-yard line keep his weekly floor above 12 points. The Broncos’ recent splits reinforce the narrative: they’ve allowed 130+ rushing yards in two of their last three, and their 15.8 PPG allowed is more about offensive tempo than stonewalling talent. Add in Skattebo’s 298 yards created (14th) and a Giants offense finally committing to downhill power, and you have the recipe for 18+ touches and a legitimate shot at 80+ scrimmage yards plus a score. The only real knock is a 22% stuffed-run rate, but that’s a small blemish on an otherwise elite workload profile. In a week thin on sure-thing RB1s, Skattebo’s arrow is pointing so far up that you fire him up as a low-end RB1 and don’t think twice.