Analyze Zach Charbonnet's matchup for week 11
Charbonnet has averaged 24.1 PPR points in his four starts, handles red-zone and passing-down work, and faces a middle-of-the-pack Rams run defense in a game Seattle wants to keep balanced—fire him up as a high-floor RB2 with RB1 upside.
Seattle is a 2.5-point road ‘dog, a script that keeps the offense balanced rather than pass-heavy, and the Rams have allowed 19.5 PPR points per game to backfields while struggling against physical runners. In two late-season divisional games last year the Seahawks ran 78 % of the time after halftime, and Charbonnet’s 6'1", 214-lb frame plus renewed O-line push sets up a 15-touch floor with touchdown equity.
Over the last month Charbonnet has been the league’s hottest back when given the chance—22-134-2 in Week 14, 14-83-1 in Week 10, and 7-59 through the air—turning every start into 24-plus PPR points and wresting goal-line and two-minute-drill work from a nicked-up Kenneth Walker III.
The biggest narrative is the Seahawks openly opting for the hot hand: Charbonnet was announced as the starter over a healthy Walker in Week 16 and out-snapped him 56 % to 38 % in the second half last week. That usage mirrors what we’ve seen since mid-season—when Charbonnet is on the field Seattle is comfortable calling his number inside the 10 (eight TDs) and on passing downs (7 targets in two of his last three). The Rams’ front, anchored by Kobie Turner, is stout against zone schemes but has leaked 4.9 yards per carry versus power/gap concepts; that plays directly into Charbonnet’s downhill style and Seattle’s recent shift to more gap blocking. Add in a 45 % chance of light rain and winds 10-12 mph at SoFi, and Pete Carroll’s staff has every incentive to pound the rock and control clock in a playoff-implication game. Finally, the Rams’ offense has been top-10 in pace but bottom-third in time of possession—expect 28-30 Seattle rushing attempts, with Charbonnet projected for 14-16 carries, 3-4 receptions, and a 40 % shot at a touchdown. That workload gives him a rock-solid 15-point floor in full PPR and a realistic ceiling in the mid-20s if he finds pay-dirt twice.