Analyze Wan Dale Robinson's matchup for week 11
Robinson has become a target magnet (7.6 per game since Nabers’ ACL tear) and faces a Packers defense that bleed production to slot receivers in cold, windy conditions tailor-made for his quick-game role.
Green Bay enters Week 11 ranked 22nd vs. WRs and just gave up another big day to an inside receiver. With 17-mph winds and temps in the mid-30s forecasted, expect a steady diet of short, high-percentage throws to Robinson—exactly the script that has produced 5.7 catches per game over his last 10 outings.
Over his last nine games Robinson is averaging 7.6 targets and 5.7 receptions; he’s logged 6+ catches in three of his last four and topped double-digit PPR points in all but one during that stretch.
Volume is king in PPR, and Robinson has it on lock. Since Malik Nabers went down, the Giants have force-fed their jitterbug slot, turning 29% of the team’s targets into a league-leading 47 receptions over that span. The Packers’ underneath coverage has been charitable all year—opposing slot WRs have averaged 15.9 YPR and 5.3 catches per game—and cold, windy conditions only enhance the likelihood of a quick-passing plan. Robinson’s 11.5 YPC and zero 100-yard games cap his ceiling, but a projected 8-10 targets gives him a floor most WR3s can’t touch. Expect another 6-8 grab, 55-70 yard day with a 25–30% chance of a short-area score—numbers that play as a locked-in top-30 WR in full PPR and a comfortable flex in half-point or standard formats.