Analyze Tyler Warren's matchup for week 11
Tyler Warren and the Colts are on a Week 11 bye, so he must be benched in all formats; when he returns in Week 12 he projects as a mid-to-low TE1 thanks to a season-long uptick in targets and production.
The Colts’ Week 11 opponent would have been a plus draw at Lucas Oil Stadium, where Warren has averaged 14.1 Y/R versus 12.7 on the road, but the entire Indianapolis offense is idle. Warren’s 19-263-0 receiving line plus a rushing score has him sitting third among rookie tight ends in PPR scoring, and he’s seen 5-plus looks in four straight contests. With the offense on hiatus, fantasy managers need to look elsewhere for tight-end production this week.
Warren’s arrow is pointing straight up: after a 7-76 opener he’s averaged 4.3 catches for 52.8 yards the last six games, posted a season-best 5-70-1 rushing-TD line in Week 8, and owns a 71 % first-down rate on his receptions.
The bye removes any start-or-sit intrigue for Week 11, yet Warren’s usage profile makes him a priority hold for the stretch run. Indianapolis has force-fed him 27 targets (70 % catch rate) and four looks inside the 10, and the rookie has answered with 13.8 Y/R and a 41-yard long. His rapport with Daniel Jones, plus Shane Steichen’s tight-end-friendly scheme, keeps a 5-target, 45-yard weekly floor in play. Once Indianapolis returns in Week 12, Warren profiles as a back-end TE1 against a slate that includes several bottom-barrel defenses versus the position. Bench him this week, but do not even consider dropping him—his ascending target share and red-zone role give him weekly top-12 upside the rest of the way.