Analyze Setffon Diggs's matchup for week 11
Diggs has scored in three straight games and faces a middle-of-the-pack Jets secondary; limited yardage keeps him in FLEX territory, but the potential absence of Kayshon Boutte could push him to high-end WR3.
New York is allowing the 16th-most WR fantasy points and has been especially vulnerable on the perimeter, setting up a plus-on-paper spot for Diggs. If Boutte sits, Diggs would operate as the clear-cut X-receiver against a Jets corner group that has ceded five TDs to outside WRs over the last four weeks.
Touchdown-or-bust profile: 3 consecutive end-zone visits, 22.6 % target share vs. two-high since Week 6, but only 37.3 YPG and a career-low 67 % snap share keep the floor low.
Since Week 6 the Patriots have scaled back Diggs’ snaps to keep the 31-year-old fresh, yet they’ve simultaneously funneled him 6 red-zone looks in the last four games—evidence that Drake Maye is looking for him when it matters. The Jets’ primary outside corners have allowed a collective 106.3 passer rating on throws 10–20 yards downfield, the exact intermediate area where Diggs has run 44 % of his routes during his touchdown streak. Even if Boutte returns, New York’s preference for Cover-3 and two-high looks should leave the slot and middle-third iso’s on Diggs’ plate, giving him a realistic path to 6–8 targets and another scoring opportunity. Expect modest yardage (55–70), but the touchdown probability keeps him in the low-end WR3/FLEX window with obvious upside for another spike week should game-script force 35–40 pass attempts from Maye.