Analyze Romeo Doubs's matchup for week 11
Romeo Doubs has averaged 8.2 targets over his last five games, emerged as Jordan Love’s clear WR1 with Jayden Reed and Tucker Kraft out, and draws an Eagles pass defense ranked 16th in DVOA that has struggled against primary receivers—start him as a high-floor WR2 with WR1 upside.
Philadelphia enters Monday Night Football 16th in pass-defense DVOA and 17th in yards allowed, having already surrendered several big lines to opposing top wideouts. With Reed on IR and Kraft lost to a torn ACL, Doubs projects for an 85-90 percent snap share and target share north of 25 percent against a banged-up secondary that has shown cracks in middle-field coverage. The expected cold weather at Lambeau is mitigated by Doubs’ consistent short-to-intermediate usage and the likelihood of positive or neutral game script that keeps Green Bay throwing.
Over the past five weeks Doubs has commanded 41 targets (8.2 per game), posted 5-plus catches in four of those contests, played 84 percent of snaps, and logged a season-best 7-91 line on 10 looks in Week 9—cementing himself as the Packers’ only fully healthy, high-volume receiver.
Volume is king in fantasy, and Doubs now has it in spades. Since Week 6 he leads the team in targets, receptions, and receiving yards while no other Packer has cleared five targets in more than two games during that span. The Eagles’ secondary, meanwhile, has allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to outside receivers and ranks 21st in EPA per pass since Week 7. Philadelphia’s pass rush is formidable, but Green Bay’s quick-timing scheme funnels targets to the slot and intermediate middle—areas where Doubs has run 56 percent of his routes over the last month. With 8-10 targets essentially guaranteed and a touchdown overdue after four straight games without one, Doubs possesses one of the safest floors among WR2 options this week. Cold temperatures and wind occasionally depress deep passing, yet Doubs’ average depth of target has sat just 9.3 yards during his hot streak, so weather minimally impacts his projection. Expect a steady 6-8 catch, 75-90 yard day with a strong probability of scoring, putting him squarely in the WR14-WR18 range for Week 11 and a must-start in all seasonal and DFS formats.