Analyze Puka Nacua's matchup for week 11
Nacua has become an every-week auto-start, averaging 11.6 targets over his last five games while scoring in three straight healthy contests; the Seahawks have already been torched by him once and project for another shootout, so lock him into line-ups as a top-five WR.
The Rams–Seahawks clash carries a 48.5-point total and pits two red-hot offenses that should push Matthew Stafford to throw 35-plus times. Seattle has struggled all year against primary slot/technician types, and Nacua posted 10-85-1 on them in Week 4; since then he’s only tightened his grip on alpha-target share (29 % team air-yards). Game script figures to remain neutral or positive for passing, giving Nacua both a 10-target floor and spike-week ceiling.
WR2 overall behind JSN, 6/7 games ≥ 85 yds, 3 straight healthy outings with a TD, zero post-Adams role squeeze, chest issue fully behind him.
Puka Nacua’s ascension into the fantasy elite is no fluke—his 32 % target share and 222 YAC showcase rare after-catch juice, while Stafford’s 20:0 TD-to-INT streak over the last six games keeps the offense humming. Volume is the lifeblood of fantasy scoring, and Nacua is drowning in it: 11.6 targets per game since Week 5, no fewer than 8 in any contest he’s finished, and red-zone looks that have produced scores in three consecutive healthy outings. The Seahawks counter with Cover-3 and man-match looks that can be picked apart by option routes; they’ve allowed the 6th-most fantasy points to WRs lined up in the slot or on shallow crossers, precisely where Nacua wins. Add in a home dome track that benefits timing routes and a Rams defense likely to concede points, and the pass-run ratio should skew 65 %+ for L.A. Finally, the chest injury that briefly limited him in Week 10 never cost him snaps last week, so health is a non-concern. All arrows point to another 20-point PPR ceiling, making him a locked-in WR1 who can still return overall WR #1 value in Week 11.