Analyze Lamar Jackson's matchup for week 11
Lamar Jackson is an automatic start in Week 11 after returning from injury with a four-TD explosion; Cleveland has allowed 19.9 QB fantasy points per game and 25.7 rushing yards to QBs, setting up another ceiling game for the dual-threat MVP.
Cleveland grades as the 20th-easiest QB matchup but has surrendered 26 passing TDs and 4.5 YPC to mobile quarterbacks. In Week 2 Jackson dropped 289/2 passing and 46 rushing yards on them, and the Browns have since allowed multiple TD passes in eight of nine games.
After missing three games with a hamstring, Jackson returned in Week 9 completing 78 % of his passes for 204 yds and a career-high 4 TDs; he still leads the NFL with a 130.5 passer rating and 10 TD passes in four healthy starts.
Jackson’s 71.6 % completion rate and 130.5 passer rating before the injury prove the passing growth is real, while his 25.7 rushing yards per game gives a rock-solid floor. Cleveland’s defense has quietly cratered, allowing 26 passing touchdowns and the sixth-most QB fantasy points since Week 5; their linebackers have struggled with eye discipline against read-option looks, something Baltimore will exploit. Expect Greg Roman to deploy heavy play-action early, leveraging the league’s best outside zone rushing attack to freeze the safeties and create vertical lanes for Zay Flowers and a healthy Mark Andrews. Even if Cleveland spies Jackson, the Ravens’ re-tooled offensive line—now featuring rookie RT Daniel Faalele—has allowed only four pressures over the last two games, giving Lamar the clean pockets he needs to pick apart a banged-up Browns secondary. With Baltimore’s defense forcing turnovers and providing short fields, Jackson has multiple pathways to 25-plus fantasy points in a must-win divisional spot.