Analyze Kyren Williams's matchup for week 11
Kyren Williams is a locked-in RB2 with RB1 upside at home versus Seattle after finally topping 100 rushing yards in Week 9; the Seahawks have allowed the 9th-most receiving yards to backs, perfectly aligning with Williams’ 8.3 YPR and three receiving TDs this year. Expect 17–18 carries plus 2–3 receptions in a tight division game the Rams will feed him in.
The 7-2 Rams host the 7-2 Seahawks with NFC West supremacy on the line. Seattle ranks 15th in fantasy points allowed to RBs but has hemorrhaged receiving production (9th-most yards to backs), making Williams’ dual-threat role especially valuable. Game script should stay neutral or positive for the Rams, keeping Williams on the field for the 73.9% snap share he’s averaged and allowing him to exploit linebacker coverage that’s struggled since Week 8.
After floating between 12–20 carries the first seven weeks, Williams exploded for 25 touches, 114 rushing yards and a TD against the Saints. He’s maintained a 4.4 YPC behind a healthy line, improved his yards-after-contact rate to 68.2%, and already matched his career high with three receiving scores.
Kyren Williams enters Week 11 in peak form, having just posted his first 100-yard game of 2025 on 25 carries. The uptick in volume wasn’t random—Sean McVay has increasingly leaned on him in high-leverage moments, and the second-year back has responded by creating more yards after contact than two-thirds of NFL backs this season. His 20-touch-per-game baseline is buoyed by a receiving role that averages 8.3 yards per catch, giving him a sturdy PPR floor even when rushing lanes tighten. Against Seattle, that pass-catching prowess becomes a ceiling play: the Seahawks have allowed 9.2 yards per catch to RBs and four receiving scores, numbers that align with the explosive screen and angle routes McVay loves to dial up for Williams.
Offensive line health is another silent catalyst. The Rams’ starting five has logged 90% of possible snaps together the past month, producing the league’s 10th-best adjusted line yards and springing Williams to the second level where his contact balance shines. Seattle’s defensive front is stout (ninth in power success), but its linebacker corps has missed 15 tackles over the last three games, a vulnerability Williams can exploit on perimeter runs and option routes. Expect McVay to establish the ground game early—Los Angeles’ play-action concepts are 40% more efficient when Williams logs 15-plus rush attempts—keeping Matthew Stafford ahead of the chains and setting up Williams for red-zone opportunities. The Rams own the NFC’s fourth-highest red-zone rush rate, and Williams has handled 12 of 14 carries inside the 10 since Week 6.
Finally, the playoff-style atmosphere favors volume over efficiency. With both teams at 7-2, clock control becomes paramount; Williams’ 73.9% snap share dwarfs Blake Corum’s 22%, eliminating real touch competition. Weather in Inglewood should be calm, and the Rams are three-point favorites with a 23.5-point implied total—game script that supports 17–19 touches. Even if Seattle stacks the box on early downs, Williams’ receiving usage provides a 6–8-point PPR floor through catches alone, while any positive game flow unlocks 20-carry upside. Fire him up as a mid-range RB2 who carries top-12 ceiling in a pivotal division showdown.