Analyze Jordan Love's matchup for week 11
Jordan Love is an auto-start in Week 11 against a porous Giants defense that ranks 29th in points allowed; he’s on fire with a 70.9% completion rate, 13 TDs to only 2 INTs, and projects for 275+ yards and multiple scores.
Love takes his red-hot 5-2-1 Packers to MetLife Stadium to face a Giants defense surrendering 27.7 PPG and 232.1 passing yards per contest. New York has routinely been torched by quarterbacks this season, lacks a consistent pass rush, and struggles against play-action—an area where Green Bay thrives. With Christian Watson back to stretch the field, Love should exploit a secondary that’s bottom-third in most metrics.
Since Week 6 Love has averaged 267 yards and 2 TDs per game, posted back-to-back 100-plus passer ratings, and trimmed his interception rate to 1.2% (5th best) after throwing 22 picks the previous two seasons.
Jordan Love’s transformation from scatter-armed gunslinger to surgical game-manager is the story of the 2025 season. Operating Matt LaFleur’s timing-based offense, Love has ripped off five straight games with a passer rating above 95, culminating in a 29-of-37, 360-yard demolition of Pittsburgh in Week 8. His improved post-snap processing shows up in the numbers: an 8.4-yard average depth of target paired with a 70.9% completion rate illustrates both aggressiveness and accuracy, while his 13:2 TD-INT ratio reflects newfound ball security. The Giants present the perfect foil—29th in points allowed, 27th in explosive pass rate conceded, and a middle-of-the-pack pass rush that rarely forces hurried throws. New York’s zone-heavy coverage has been especially susceptible to play-action, where Love ranks 4th in EPA per attempt. Expect LaFleur to lean on multi-tight-end sets, suck the linebackers forward, and unleash Watson and Reed downfield for chunk gains. Even on the road, Love’s floor is 250 and two scores; the ceiling is a 40-point outing if this game shoots out. Fire him up as a locked-in QB1 with top-five weekly upside.