Analyze Jameson Williams's matchup for week 11
Jameson Williams is a locked-in WR2 with WR1 upside for Week 11; he’s scored in three of his last four, faces an Eagles defense that bleeds deep balls, and projects for 5-7 catches, 85-110 yards and a touchdown in a 48.5-point total game.
The Eagles’ single-high safety look (55.9% of snaps) plays directly into Williams’ 17.0 YPR deep-threat profile—Philly has allowed the third-most deep passing yards per game and the fifth-highest deep-ball completion rate. With Detroit’s play-calling now geared to funnel 34.7% of the team’s air-yards to Williams, the matchup sets up as a ceiling week in a likely shootout.
Over his last four healthy games Williams has averaged 5.3 catches, 83.8 yards and 1 TD on 6+ targets, posting WR12 or better fantasy finishes in three of those outings.
Jameson Williams is finally delivering on the first-round pedigree that made him the 2022 draft’s most tantalizing speed threat. After a slow September, the Lions have re-centered their passing attack around his vertical skill set: he leads the team with 10 deep targets and a 34.7% air-yard share while pacing 1.96 yards per route run against single-high coverage. That usage spike coincides with OC-to-HC play-calling transfer that has explicitly schemed 6+ targets for Williams in three straight healthy games, turning a previously boom-or-bust gadget player into a legitimate every-down alpha who commands first-read volume (14.9% share) and converts it into week-winning explosives.
The Eagles enter this contest vulnerable on the perimeter. Philadelphia’s defense has relied on single-high looks at the ninth-highest rate in the league, but their deep-shell integrity has crumbled: they’ve surrendered the third-most deep passing yards per game and the fifth-highest completion rate on passes of 20+ air yards. Cornerbacks James Bradberry and Josh Jobe have struggled to stay attached on vertical routes, and safety Reed Blankenship has missed more tackles (8) than any Eagle defensive back—recipe for the league’s most explosive yards-after-catch wideout to turn 40-yard bombs into 60-yard house calls. Add in a 48.5-point Vegas total (second-highest on the slate) and the likelihood of back-and-forth scoring, and Williams should see both volume and efficiency in an environment begging for chunk plays.
Fantasy managers wrestling with bye-week blues or under-performing veterans should lock Williams into lineups without hesitation. His elevated target floor (6+ in three of four) removes the all-or-nothing stigma, while the big-play ceiling remains elite: he’s one of only six wideouts averaging 17-plus yards per catch with multiple scores since Week 6. Project him for a 5-7 reception, 85-110 yard, 1-TD day that carries legitimate 30-point upside if one of those targets turns into a 70-yard dagger. Sit mid-tier WR2s in negative game-script situations—think Jakobi Meyers in a rain game or an aging Mike Evans on a hamstring—and fire up Jameson Williams as a high-end WR2 who could single-handedly swing a playoff seeding week.