Analyze Elic Ayomanor's matchup for week 11
Ayomanor’s snap share and target share have cratered—he played fewer snaps than Van Jefferson in Week 9 and owns only a 16% first-read share—while the Titans’ bottom-tier passing offense offers no path to ceiling. Sit him in all 12-team formats.
Tennessee’s pass defense is middling, but that’s irrelevant for a receiver whose role is collapsing. With rookie QB Cam Ward under constant pressure and the Titans’ offense ranked near the bottom in pass efficiency, Ayomanor needs volume and downfield looks that simply aren’t there. The absence of Calvin Ridley was supposed to unlock targets; instead Chimere Dike (11.6 half-PPR PPG since Week 7) has emerged as the fantasy-viable rookie.
After two top-36 WR weeks early, Ayomanor’s target share has fallen to 11%, his YPRR vs. two-high coverage sits at 0.92, and he’s ceding routes and snaps to Van Jefferson—clear indicators he’s hit the rookie wall.
The trajectory for the Stanford rookie has reversed sharply. An 18.4% target share and highlight-reel 23-yard helmet catch in Week 2 feel like distant memories; over the past month he’s been an after-thought in a sputtering attack. OC’s decision to trim his snaps is the death knell for redraft viability—WRs who aren’t on the field for 80% of plays in low-volume passing attacks can’t be trusted in lineups. Even if Tennessee’s secondary offers paper-thin corner depth, the macro environment (30th-ranked pass-pro grade per PFF, 27th in neutral-situation pass rate) caps everyone’s ceiling. Add in Cam Ward’s rookie inconsistencies and Ayomanor’s diminishing first-read share, and you have a player whose median projection sits south of 6 half-PPR points with legitimate goose-egg risk. Dynasty managers should hold for the physical profile and possible second-year leap, but redraft rosters can move on to higher-floor WR5/6 types like Dike, Josh Palmer, or even a returning Calvin Ridley if he practices in full.