Analyze Dk Metcalf's matchup for week 11
DK Metcalf is a volatile FLEX who could pay off against a middling Bengals pass defense that just let Pittsburgh’s WRs total 90 yards, but back-to-back duds (6 and 35 yards) make him a risk-reward play best reserved for lineups chasing ceiling.
Cincinnati has surrendered 31.6 PPR points per game to wide receivers (14th-most) and six WR touchdowns this year, and Metcalf already saw five targets versus them in Week 7. The Bengals’ 22nd-ranked pass defense leans on bracket coverage that funnels looks elsewhere, but their red-zone generosity keeps Metcalf’s touchdown odds alive.
A two-game skid (6 and 35 yards) has erased early-season momentum; he’s gone from four straight weeks with a TD to zero second-half targets in Week 9 and a long of 19 yards in Week 10.
Metcalf’s slump coincides with Pittsburgh’s offensive-line leaks forcing quicker throws and limiting vertical shots, yet his 60% red-zone share keeps the ceiling intact. Against Cincinnati he profiles as a classic boom-or-bust FLEX: the Bengals allow 16.6 WR targets per game and six WR scores, but they just bottled him up in Week 7 (3-50) and will likely double him again. Expect 5–7 targets, 65–85 yards, and roughly a 40% chance of a touchdown—start him only if your roster build can absorb another floor game while chasing week-winning upside.