Analyze Devin Singletary's matchup for week 11
Singletary has become the clear No. 2 behind Tyrone Tracy Jr., is averaging 2.5 yards per carry over his last two games, and faces a Packers front that limits rushing production; his only path to value is a handful of check-downs, making him a low-floor, low-ceiling sit in all 12- and 14-team leagues.
Green Bay enters MetLife ranked a middling 16th in rushing yards allowed per game but a more generous 10th-most receptions conceded to backs, theoretically opening a door for Singletary’s receiving skill-set. The Packers’ pass-rush combo of Rashan Gary and Lukas Van Ness, however, should pin the Giants into negative game scripts where Tracy, not Singletary, handles the two-minute work. Expect New York to lean on quick perimeter throws rather than interior runs, leaving Singletary dependent on 6–8 scripted touches and dump-off volume to pay off.
After opening 2025 with double-digit touches, Singletary has logged single-digit carries in seven of his last eight outings, ceding early-down work to Tracy and mustering a microscopic 2.5 YPC over Weeks 9–10; his only bright spot is a 3-53 receiving line in Week 10.
The underlying usage data paints a bleak picture for Singletary’s rest-of-season ceiling. His snap share has dipped below 40 % in back-to-back games while Tracy has handled 71 % of the Giants’ red-zone rushes since Week 7. Offensive coordinator Brian Daboll is calling fewer power concepts—an area where Singletary formerly thrived—opting instead for outside-zone that accentuates Tracy’s long speed. With the offensive line grading 28th in adjusted line yards, any rushing attempt is largely volume-driven rather than efficiency-based, and volume is now gone.
From a game-script standpoint, the Giants are 4.5-point home underdogs with rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart in concussion protocol; if he sits, the offense becomes even more conservative, shrinking total plays and increasing the likelihood of a pass-heavy catch-up mode in the second half. Historically, Singletary has averaged just 1.9 targets per game when New York trails by more than one possession, nullifying the one matchup advantage Green Bay’s defense concedes.
Finally, touchdown equity is virtually non-existent: New York ranks 30th in drives reaching the red zone, and Singletary has zero carries inside the 10-yard line since Week 4. Even in 16-team PPR formats where bye-week desperation peaks, comparable free-agent backs such as Emari Demercado or Tyler Allgeier offer both higher touch floors and superior scoring probability. Bench Singletary without hesitation and pivot to literally any back projected for 10-plus touches in a neutral or positive game environment.