Analyze Davante Adams's matchup for week 11
Adams has scored five times in his last two games and owns a league-best 59% red-zone target share; the Seahawks sit 18th in WR fantasy points allowed and have coughed up seven WR touchdowns—fire him up as a locked-in WR1.
Seattle’s defense ranks 18th in fantasy points to wideouts (18.2 PPG) and has surrendered 112.4 WR yards per game along with seven TDs. With both clubs at 7-2 and a potential shootout looming, Adams’ red-zone dominance gives him a massive ceiling in this NFC West clash.
Leads the NFL with eight receiving TDs, a 59% red-zone share and five scores in his last two outings—an unequivocal upward trajectory.
Davante Adams has flipped the script after a slow September, turning into the league’s most lethal scoring weapon. His 16 end-zone targets translate to a 59.3% team share, numbers we rarely see from any receiver, let alone a 32-year-old fresh off a trade. The chemistry with Matthew Stafford is now telepathic: Stafford has looked Adams’ way on virtually every goal-line drop-back, and the results are five touchdowns in two weeks and nine total scores on the season. That usage is scheme-proof and matchup-proof, but it also happens to coincide with a Seattle secondary that has been middling against fantasy WRs. The Seahawks allow the 18th-most points to the position and have given up seven WR touchdowns—numbers that look even juicier when you consider game script. Both teams enter 7-2, the total is hovering in the high 40s, and the Rams have scored on their opening three drives in consecutive weeks. If this turns into the track meet Vegas expects, Adams’ target floor stays 10-plus while his touchdown ceiling remains the highest in football.
From a technical standpoint, Adams is winning at every level of the field. He’s still elite on contested catches (78% catch rate on tight-window targets the last month), and Stafford has shown zero hesitation throwing him 50-50 balls in the back of the end zone. Seattle will likely bracket him inside the 20, but that hasn’t mattered—Adams’ TDs have come against Cover-2 robber, slot blitz, and straight man. The Seahawks’ slot corner has allowed a 119 passer rating when targeted, and if they kick Tariq Woolen inside to shadow, that merely moves the matchup to the perimeter where Adams has already beaten top-tier corners the last two weeks. Add in that the Rams’ offensive line is finally healthy (Stafford has been kept clean on 73% of drop-backs since Week 7), and the pocket stability should let those double-move and fade concepts marinate long enough for Adams to separate late.
Bottom line: health is no longer a concern after the minor oblique tweak in Week 10, and the coaching staff has already said he’ll be a full participant. In a game that carries massive playoff implications for both sides, the Rams have made it clear they will ride their red-zone alpha. Project him for 6-8 grabs, 90-100 yards, and better than 50% odds to score—numbers that play as a top-12 WR option in every format. Sit him at your own peril; the trend, usage, matchup and game environment all point toward another blow-up week.