Analyze Tyrone Tracy's matchup for week 10
A once-promising every-down role has evaporated into a 50/50 split with Devin Singletary, so even a plus paper matchup with Chicago’s leaky run defense can’t offset the real risk of 8–10 scripted touches on a sputtering Giants offense.
Chicago enters Week 10 hemorrhaging 27.5 PPG to RBs (3rd-most) and has conceded 4.4 YPC with six rushing TDs, so the on-paper fit is excellent for explosive plays. Unfortunately, New York’s own offensive dysfunction (27th in yards per drive, 24th in red-zone trips) caps scoring chances, and the Giants are 7-point underdogs, setting up negative game script that funnels work toward the more trusted pass-protector, Singletary.
After opening the year as the clear lead, Tracy has lost touch share each of the last three weeks and was decisively out-played in Week 9 (5–18 rushing, 3–19 receiving) while Singletary looked crisper (8–43), pushing the backfield toward an even split.
Volume is the lifeblood of fantasy reliability, and Tracy no longer has it. The coaching staff’s post-game comments emphasized “riding the hot hand,” and with Singletary grading markedly higher in pass protection and short-yardage success rate, Tracy’s theoretical 15-touch floor has cratered to 8–10. Even if the Bears’ generous front seven gifts 4.5 YPC opportunities, a timeshare back on a team projected for 17–19 total points needs touchdowns to pay off, and goal-line work is tilting toward Singletary. Add in a Giants offensive line that ranks bottom-five in adjusted line yards and the likelihood of early negative game script, and Tracy’s path to a usable fantasy line requires both an inefficient long touchdown and the game to stay neutral—an unlikely parlay. Until Tracy shows he can reclaim 65-plus percent of the snaps or the offense finds a pulse, he belongs on benches in 12-team formats. Managers in deeper leagues can chase the athletic profile, but the prudent play is to roster higher-floor backups with stand-alone roles (think Zack Moss, Bucky Irving) rather than hope a 50-percent share on a bottom-feeding offense suddenly becomes profitable.