Analyze Setffon Diggs's matchup for week 10
Stefon Diggs enters Week 10 mired in a four-game slide (30.3 yds/gm) and draws a Bucs defense that funnels production away from perimeter WRs, making him a low-floor sit for fantasy managers.
Tampa Bay’s secondary ranks 19th in WR fantasy points allowed and has surrendered only six WR touchdowns this season, with 62 % of the damage coming versus slot receivers. Diggs, who aligns predominantly outside, faces a coverage scheme specifically built to suppress his profile.
Diggs has averaged 30.3 receiving yards over his last four outings, logged three single-digit PPR games in that span, and owns a career-low 21 % target rate when on the field.
Stefon Diggs’ mid-season collapse has been stark and metrics-based. Since Week 5’s 146-yard explosion against Buffalo, he has totaled 111 yards across the next three games, failing to top 35 yards in any individual contest. His target share has cratered to 21 % of routes, a career-worst number, and he’s seen only one end-zone target on 192 snaps, neutering the touchdown ceiling that once propped up his floor. Quarterback Drake Maye’s willingness to spread the ball to Kayshon Boutte, DeMario Douglas, and the backs has turned New England’s passing game into a democratic committee, stripping Diggs of the concentrated volume elite fantasy WRs require. Add in a Tampa Bay defense that allows the 12th-fewest air yards per attempt to outside receivers and has given up just six WR scores all year, and you have a profile with minimal ceiling and a frighteningly low floor. Sit him in all standard-sized leagues until he rediscovers volume, efficiency, or both.