Analyze Marvin Harrison's matchup for week 10
Sit Harrison: the Jets’ second-stingiest WR defense, Arizona’s run-heavy script, and his 5-for-9 sub-5-point games make him a high-risk, low-reward play with a 3.5-catch prop and no red-zone work since Week 4.
New York’s perimeter defense is a nightmare for outside receivers—Harrison lines up wide 80% of the time—allowing the second-fewest WR fantasy points, second-fewest passing scores (6), and only two 100-yard games to wideouts all year. Arizona enters as the NFL’s eighth-most run-heavy offense, and the Jets’ vulnerable ground defense invites another James Conner-centric game plan that caps pass attempts and funnels targets away from Harrison.
After a 6-111-1 ceiling in Week 8 he crashed to 2-34 in a plus-Chicago matchup, giving him five single-digit duds in nine games—including a zero-catch Week 6—and no red-zone look since Week 4.
Volume is the root issue: a middling 21% target share and 6.1 looks per game force Harrison to live on splash plays, yet the Cardinals’ run-first identity (eighth-highest rush rate) keeps overall attempts low and his floor nonexistent. The Jets compound the problem—facing just 28.3 passes per game and ranking second in WR fantasy points allowed—so even elite per-route efficiency (1.97 YPRR, 42% air-yard share) can’t overcome a projected 3.5 catches and a script that should feature James Conner against a leaky front. Add five straight weeks without a red-zone target and the rookie’s profile becomes a volatile, touchdown-dependent dart in a matchup specifically built to erase perimeter explosives. The ceiling always exists, but the probability of another single-digit clunker is far higher than the outlier blow-up needed to justify a start in standard 10- or 12-team leagues.