Analyze Luke Musgrave's matchup for week 10
With Tucker Kraft (ACL) done for the year, Luke Musgrave steps back into Green Bay’s TE1 chair against an Eagles defense that’s middle-of-the-road versus the position. Expect 3-4 grabs and 35-45 yards—usable as a desperation TE2/FLEX in 12-team leagues but not a must-start.
The Eagles have surrendered the third-fewest TE fantasy points, yet that number is schedule-aided; underneath coverage has been spotty with LB injuries and new faces still gelling. Musgrave’s 9.3 aDOT keeps him in the vertical seam role, and without Kraft he should run 75-80% of routes—enough volume to matter if Jordan Love looks middle more often than outside against Philly’s retooled corners.
Career-high snap share in Week 9 (50% routes) and a perfect 3-for-3 outing for 34 yards show a second-year jump in trust and chemistry; now the pathway to 5-6 targets per week is clear.
Luke Musgrave’s 2025 season changed the moment Tucker Kraft’s ACL tear landed him on IR. Through nine weeks Musgrave had been stuck in a near 50/50 timeshare, capping both his floor and ceiling, but Week 9’s usage spike—20 routes on 40 pass plays—was the canary in the coal mine. Matt LaFleur openly praised his “vertical presence,” and with no other tight end on the roster commanding down-field responsibility, Musgrave becomes the de facto every-down option for a Packers offense still searching for pass-game balance behind a sometimes-spotty Jordan Love. The matchup itself is a mixed bag. Philadelphia’s raw stat line looks brutal for tight ends, yet context matters: they’ve faced only one top-12 fantasy TE since Week 5, and their linebackers have been thinned by injury. Avonte Maddox and trade-deadline addition Jaire Alexander upgrade the outside coverage, which funnels targets back inside to intermediate zones where the 6'6" Musgrave wins with size and timing. Add in cold Lambeau weather that historically shortens Love’s throwing radius, and quick seam and stick routes become the path of least resistance. Still, expectations must stay modest. Musgrave’s career résumé is 23 catches for 259 yards and a single score; he’s not a yards-after-catch monster, and the Eagles’ red-zone defense remains stout. A realistic ceiling is 5-55, with a 20-25% shot at a TD—numbers that play as a low-end TE1 only in deeper leagues or during bye-pocalypse weeks. If you roster a reliable top-15 option, keep Musgrave on the bench and view him as an upside stash with the potential to creep into weekly starter territory if the volume spike continues down the stretch.