Analyze Khalil Shakir's matchup for week 10
Shakir’s 20 % target share, red-zone usage, and Miami’s 21st-ranked WR-fantasy defense make him a high-floor, high-ceiling FLEX/WR3 in Week 10.
Shakir enters Week 10 on a four-game heater (25-268-2) and leads Buffalo with 356 yards and 41 targets. Miami’s secondary bleeds 16.2 WR fantasy points per game (21st) and has allowed five WR touchdowns through Week 4. With minimal pass-rush pressure expected, Josh Allen should have time to pepper his trusted slot man in a pivotal divisional track meet.
Ascending—5-plus catches and/or a TD in three of last four; 20 % target share, 8 red-zone looks, back-to-back 80-yard games.
Khalil Shakir’s usage has morphed from ancillary piece to offensive engine. Over the last six weeks he commands a team-best 20 % target share and 25 % of Buffalo’s red-zone pass attempts, giving him both a stable floor and spike-week upside. His refined route-running from the slot pairs perfectly against a Dolphins defense that ranks 21st in fantasy points allowed to wide receivers and has surrendered 106.8 receiving yards per game to the position. Miami’s cornerback group has struggled with quick separators, allowing a 71 % catch rate to slot looks this season—precisely the area where Shakir runs 65 % of his routes. Add in Miami’s middling pass rush (29th in pressure rate), and Josh Allen should have clean pockets to work through progressions, elevating the odds that Shakir reaches the 6-8 target projection. Finally, game script projects pass-heavy because the Bills are three-point road favorites in a division clash with a 49.5-point total, so volume should remain robust even if Buffalo builds a lead. All arrows point to Shakir producing a solid 12-18 PPR day with legitimate touchdown equity, cementing him as a priority FLEX who carries low-end WR2 upside in plus matchups like this.