Analyze Jauan Jennings's matchup for week 10
Jennings is a locked-in WR3 with a 23-261 line over his last four games and a depleted SF receiving corps that funnels 8-12 targets his way; the Rams’ slot-friendly defense plus a 49.5-point total make him a safe PPR floor play with multi-TD upside.
Los Angeles has bled production to physical slot receivers all year, and the 6'3", 212-lb Jennings—now SF’s clear No. 2 with Ricky Pearsall out and Brandon Aiyuk still sidelined—projects for another 8-12 looks in a game the market expects to be a shootout. The Rams surrendered a 68% catch rate to interior wideouts over the last month and rank 25th in fantasy points allowed to the position, setting up Jennings for 6-8 grabs, 70-90 yards and positive touchdown regression after just one score over his last 24 targets.
Top-25 in both receptions (77) and yards (975) through nine weeks, Jennings has ripped off 23-261 on 34 targets the last four games while playing a career-high 83% of snaps and has yet to miss a full practice despite ankle/rib/shoulder dings.
Volume is king in fantasy and Jennings has it in spades: he’s seen 8-plus targets in seven of nine games, owns a 21% target share since Week 5, and faces a Rams secondary that just lost slot corner Cobie Durant (thumb) and has given up the sixth-most yards to inside receivers. His 68% catch rate and 83.1 PFF grade show the production is skill-driven, not just opportunity-driven, while San Francisco’s 26-point implied total keeps touchdown probability high. Even if Brock Purdy’s toe limits him, Jennings’ 103.2 passer rating when targeted and proven chemistry with both Purdy and Mac Jones stabilizes his floor. Finally, he’s under-owned in DFS given the matchup and should return 4-5x value on his mid-tier salary, making him a priority cash-game and GPP play in Week 10.