Analyze Jacory Croskey Merritt's matchup for week 10
Croskey-Merritt has become unstartable: 46% snap share in Week 9, zero touchdowns during the Commanders’ three-game slide and 32 straight carries without a 10-yard gain. Leave him on your bench.
Tampa Bay’s run defense has quietly stiffened (3.9 YPC allowed since Week 6) and Washington’s offense may be without Jayden Daniels. Croskey-Merritt will split work with Chris Rodriguez Jr. and Jeremy McNichols, capping both volume and TD probability. Expect 8–11 touches and little red-zone usage in a low-scoring game script.
Snap share dipped to 46% last week, out-gained by Rodriguez (65 yds, TD) while posting 38 scoreless yards; 32 carries since last 10-yard gain.
Croskey-Merritt’s role has evaporated into a true three-headed committee. Over the last three weeks he’s handled only 43% of the backfield carries and hasn’t seen a single target inside the 10-yard line. The advanced numbers (17% missed-tackle rate, 3.07 YAC/att) show he’s still making defenders miss, but the Commanders refuse to tether their offense to him, instead cycling backs by drive and game script. With Jayden Daniels nursing an arm injury, Washington’s implied team total sits below 20 points and Vegas projects a run-heavy, clock-drilling affair—yet that volume will be split, not concentrated. Tampa Bay fronts have allowed just one RB touchdown since Week 5 and rank sixth in stuff rate, meaning Croskey-Merritt’s best path to value (goal-line plunges) is blocked both by scheme and by Rodriguez vulturing those looks. Unless you’re in a 14-team league forced to mine the RB30+ tier, there are higher-upside flex options on every waiver wire this week.