Analyze Davante Adams's matchup for week 10
Davante Adams has scored in five of eight games and faces a 49ers defense that’s bled red-zone production; the Rams are 60% favorites in a 49.5-point shootout, giving the 32-year-old a 48.9% TD probability and locked-in WR1 value.
The Rams travel to Santa Clara as slight favorites in the week’s highest total (49.5), a script that keeps Stafford throwing deep into the fourth quarter. San Francisco’s secondary ranks mid-pack in most pass-defense metrics and has allowed a 67% completion rate inside the 20 this season. With Los Angeles coming off a bye and Stafford posting a 21:2 TD:INT ratio, the environment sets up for Adams—who already commands 28% of the team’s red-zone targets—to remain the focal point in scoring territory.
Adams has five touchdowns in his last two games, has seen 8+ targets in six of seven outings with the Rams, and is averaging 4.7 catches for 54 yards and 1.0 TD since Week 6.
Bottom line: Adams has rediscovered his elite touchdown equity at the perfect time. A rested Rams attack faces a vulnerable secondary in the league’s most fantasy-friendly scoring environment. Fire him up as a confident WR1 and expect another end-zone visit to propel lineups into Week 10 glory.