Analyze Chuba Hubbard's matchup for week 10
Rico Dowdle’s 25-touch breakout has relegated Hubbard to a sub-23 % snap share and single-digit touch projection, rendering him an easy bench even against a middling Saints run defense.
The Panthers’ four-point home underdog status and Dowdle’s stranglehold on early-down, goal-line, and two-minute work reduce Hubbard to garbage-time scraps. New Orleans’ league-average run defense is irrelevant when projected volume sits below eight touches and zero red-zone opportunities.
Returned from injury in Week 9 to a 22 % snap share, five carries and one target, ceding 130 yards and 2 TDs to Dowdle in a full changing of the guard.
Hubbard’s 2025 campaign has followed a stark downward arc: a promising 4.3 YPC in Week 3 evaporated into a season-long 3.7 YPC, zero rushing scores, and now a definitive backup role. Coaching staff confirmation that Dowdle is "the guy" locks Hubbard into a change-of-pace / breather capacity that caps weekly output below six fantasy points in even the most favorable script. With Jonathon Brooks eventually factoring in, the former 1,000-yard rusher’s path to relevance is blocked for the rest of the season. Unless you’re in a 16-team league ravaged by byes, keep him stapled to your bench or move on entirely.