Analyze Breece Hall's matchup for week 10
Hall is a locked-in RB2/FLEX despite the league’s top-ranked run defense; his 20-touch floor, red-zone usage and recent 147-yard breakout outweigh a tough on-paper matchup.
Cleveland enters allowing the fewest rushing yards per attempt and second-fewest YPC, but those elite numbers have come at home—on the road they’ve surrendered 41, 34 and 32 points in three of their last four away games. The Jets are 1.5-point favorites with a low 36.5 total, scripting toward a patient, run-heavy approach that should keep Hall’s touch count above 18 for a fifth straight week.
After early-season duds of 38, 59, 21 and 29 rushing yards, Hall erupted in Week 8 for 147 scrimmage yards, 2 TDs and even a passing score—cementing 759 total yards (7th among RBs) and 5.0 YPC on the year.
The Browns’ defensive line, anchored by Myles Garrett and a top-rated PFF run-stopping front, is the primary landmine for Hall managers. Cleveland has limited opposing backs to 3.6 yards per carry and has not allowed a rushing touchdown since Week 5, thanks to linebacker speed and safety support that crashes down faster than any unit in football. Still, volume is king for fantasy backs, and Hall has handled 76 % of the Jets’ backfield touches since Michael Carter was phased out, including 11 red-zone carries over the last three games—fourth most in that span. New York’s coaching staff has openly prioritized ball control to protect a middling passing attack, and the Browns’ bottom-three offense keeps games close, preventing negative game script from siphoning carries. Add in Hall’s improved decisiveness behind a healthier Jets interior line (left guard Laken Tomlinson and center Connor McGovern both graded 70+ last week), and the matchup risk is mitigated enough to keep him in lineups. Project 18–20 carries, 3–4 targets, 70–90 scrimmage yards and a 40 % chance of a touchdown—solid RB2 numbers in any format.