Analyze Aj Barner's matchup for week 10
Barner is a locked-in low-end TE1 this week; the Cardinals bleed points to tight ends, Seattle is a 6.5-point home favorite, and he’s commanding red-zone work with four TDs in his last six games.
Arizona enters Week 10 ranked bottom-five in fantasy points allowed to tight ends, having already surrendered eight touchdowns to the position. Seattle’s league-best offense (33.6 ppg at home) should control pace, and Barner’s 78% snap share plus goal-line package usage keeps his floor high even in a crowded pass-catching corps.
21-236-4 on 26 targets through eight games after managing only 1 TD as a rookie; back-to-back weeks with 3+ catches and a score.
Barner’s second-year leap is real: his yards-per-catch has spiked from 8.2 to 11.2, his target share inside the 10-yard line leads Seattle pass-catchers, and Sam Darnold has posted a 126.3 passer rating when throwing his way. The Cardinals play a single-high-heavy scheme that leaves linebackers isolated in the middle of the field; that’s where Barner has done his damage, averaging 3.1 yards of separation per route—top-10 among TEs. Expect 4–5 targets, at least one red-zone look, and a 40% chance of pay-dirt in a game Seattle should lead throughout. Any tight end with that combination of volume, touchdown probability, and positive gamescript is an automatic start in 12-team formats and a DFS bargain at a position starved for certainty.